Friday, April 18 / 12:30 PM - 2:20 PM   •   Napoleon B2

Session 101:
Advances in Fertility Metrics and Models

Chair: Sam Preston, University of Pennsylvania
Discussant: John Bongaarts, Population Council

  1. A Model for Cohort Fertility Schedules in Low and Moderate Fertility PopulationsJoshua R. Goldstein, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research

  2. Assessing Uncertainty in Fertility Estimates and ProjectionsLeontine Alkema, University of Washington ; Adrian Raftery, University of Washington ; Patrick Gerland, United Nations ; Samuel J. Clark, University of Washington ; François Pelletier, United Nations

  3. Why Kids Today?: Evidence on the Old-Age Security Motive from the Italian Pension ReformFrancesco C. Billari, Università Bocconi ; Vincenzo Galasso, Università Bocconi

  4. Should the Total Fertility Rate Still Be Used in Policy Discussions?: Assessing the Appropriateness of the TFR when Studying the Presumed Need for and Effectiveness of Birth Enhancing Policies in EuropeWolfgang Lutz, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) ; Tomas Sobotka, Vienna Institute of Demography

Other sessions on Fertility, Family Planning, Sexual Behavior and Reproductive Health